Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 11.140407 12.755841 14.537951 16.652168 19.095173 21.833201 25.139864
2025-09-28 8.802329 10.857395 13.308314 16.455689 20.403311 25.207868 31.524883
2025-10-05 7.739607 10.070734 13.011622 17.012116 22.340458 29.232454 38.886390
2025-10-12 6.946749 9.441647 12.737147 17.437631 24.017510 32.970823 46.196240
2025-10-19 6.399667 9.033506 12.654521 18.038106 25.911211 37.115299 54.466302
2025-10-26 5.643132 8.228933 11.908540 17.579287 26.193810 38.942311 59.521424
2025-11-02 5.080544 7.631318 11.377054 17.342913 26.728512 41.129540 65.289202
2025-11-09 4.617502 7.127244 10.921020 17.150098 27.273170 43.337659 71.276889
2025-11-16 4.211738 6.666727 10.478658 16.917177 27.702389 45.365744 77.144365
2025-11-23 3.838018 6.218740 10.008655 16.581079 27.906854 47.012200 82.499733
2025-11-30 3.717194 6.167277 10.167578 17.293768 29.934335 51.913792 94.102823
2025-12-07 3.519527 5.967777 10.059295 17.531067 31.144603 55.491854 103.679181
2025-12-14 3.287177 5.692514 9.804181 17.496183 31.882223 58.329825 112.272449
2025-12-21 3.050203 5.388513 9.472095 17.288783 32.276742 60.565944 119.953092
2025-12-28 2.955694 5.329683 9.567961 17.875148 34.219681 65.924134 134.511275
2026-01-04 2.848300 5.237090 9.592219 18.323600 35.932065 70.996260 149.079845
2026-01-11 2.772796 5.196744 9.708088 18.956500 38.068351 77.129064 166.653845
2026-01-18 2.564123 4.885328 9.282833 18.472898 37.869197 78.415369 173.702234
2026-01-25 2.401623 4.650688 8.987036 18.223773 38.131810 80.693358 183.252409
2026-02-01 2.257936 4.441962 8.725417 18.020564 38.468948 83.157508 193.520824
2026-02-08 2.121463 4.237257 8.455642 17.775097 38.686827 85.371997 203.452367
2026-02-15 1.984947 4.022243 8.148234 17.420914 38.625614 86.942052 211.987733
2026-02-22 1.964170 4.045865 8.337437 18.171978 41.152852 94.754209 237.180163